Splake wrote:
kinguq wrote:
Governments have a poor record in "picking winners".
I think this statement nails it and we are probably mostly on the same page. The question isn't whether or not a well implemented "carbon tax" program could have a positive impact but rather whether this particular program will.
The tasks of collecting the tax and then redistributing it have real costs associated with them in terms of people, equipment and power. These real costs mean that the system physically can not return every $ to the consumer so the system will add burden and take money out of the economy.
.
The estimated cost is about 10%. But this money does not "exit" the economy. Real people do the work and get payed for it. Any carbon taxation system, including cap and trade, will have a comparable administrative cost. As will regulatory measures. There is no getting around that.
Splake wrote:
By returning the money to the consumer with a fancy label, there is no control over how it is spent. Folks who have already purchased a Prius now have some extra cash for new hockey and ringette sticks (and the rebate is only enough for a couple of hockey or ringette sticks at current prices). Blue collar plumbers, electricians, carpenters, etc. whose livelihood requires something bigger than a Prius now have less cash to even consider a "green" investment. The folks in the middle for who the exercise is a financial wash have neither incentive or reason to change what they are already doing.
And this is where we disagree. The incentive remains because of the price signal. If I go into a bar, and a Keith's is 1 dollar cheaper than a Molson, I can buy the Keith's and save a buck. If the bartender is giving a free dollar to every customer, I still save the dollar by buying the cheaper beer, but maybe I'll buy two instead. Or maybe I prefer Molson's, so that option remains. And yes, there is no control over how it is spent. But as I said, I don't trust government to pick winners. I have greater trust in consumers to look out for their own interests.
Of course the carbon price is low now, but it is supposed to rise every year, as will the rebates. The system gives us a tool that we can use to change our behaviour (and that of businesses) to lower our carbon emissions. The actual amount of the rebate is of course not enough to buy a Prius, but the rising price of gas should persuade some people that they perhaps don't need a pickup truck next time they buy.
All that said, I am pessimistic. I fear the Cons will win the next election and throw the entire system out the window. They have already indicated that they will abandon our Paris commitments, which were already woefully inadequate. Given the recent climate reports from IPCC and from our own government, it is hard to have any hope that our children can avoid living in a very degraded world.
Kinguq.